Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.539753 2.780432 3.038947 3.338121 3.675868 4.046569 4.485877
2025-10-26 2.202859 2.530893 2.905829 3.369302 3.931258 4.596261 5.451285
2025-11-02 1.983361 2.358114 2.805998 3.387169 4.130872 5.063905 6.344515
2025-11-09 1.776129 2.166346 2.648634 3.298152 4.165077 5.304631 6.954592
2025-11-16 1.631143 2.032871 2.543769 3.254255 4.238247 5.586690 7.636693
2025-11-23 1.522741 1.934130 2.470713 3.238715 4.338733 5.905373 8.399247
2025-11-30 1.466930 1.898201 2.474913 3.324399 4.583203 6.448332 9.563958
2025-12-07 1.383660 1.817654 2.409928 3.303246 4.665117 6.751751 10.385474
2025-12-14 1.304892 1.737217 2.337977 3.263570 4.711468 6.999345 11.141504
2025-12-21 1.210483 1.628523 2.217777 3.141127 4.615694 7.004721 11.470765
2025-12-28 1.163423 1.584509 2.188069 3.152925 4.732238 7.369298 12.495964
2026-01-04 1.127909 1.554794 2.176875 3.191355 4.893648 7.824773 13.759177
2026-01-11 1.094884 1.527803 2.169361 3.237174 5.075567 8.344573 15.255473
2026-01-18 1.062754 1.500251 2.159061 3.277310 5.251142 8.873833 16.871071
2026-01-25 1.028262 1.466957 2.137313 3.295913 5.388951 9.346601 18.452918
2026-02-01 0.973768 1.399829 2.057814 3.210104 5.327491 9.420649 19.137175
2026-02-08 0.932610 1.351510 2.005756 3.167715 5.342319 9.648089 20.225919
2026-02-15 0.899970 1.315043 1.970865 3.152702 5.407159 9.985222 21.651781
2026-02-22 0.888511 1.311749 1.990223 3.235487 5.669226 10.774206 24.421156
2026-03-01 0.858416 1.276773 1.954483 3.215051 5.722946 11.111634 26.046993
2026-03-08 0.827008 1.238259 1.910743 3.176718 5.736366 11.358778 27.473404
2026-03-15 0.783489 1.178052 1.827111 3.058392 5.573808 11.178250 27.597103
2026-03-22 0.764621 1.158133 1.812219 3.069795 5.686140 11.664338 29.880090